Monday, November 15, 2010

Portland: Earthquake and Fault Maps

Now that we have learned the science behind earthquakes, its time to consider how they affect us. Read the following excerpt from the Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries (DOGAMI) and then check out the maps.

The Portland metropolitan area and surrounding vicinity have been the most seismically active region in Oregon in historical times. Based on the relatively brief 150-year historic record, six earthquakes of Richter magnitude (ML) 5 or greater have occurred within the greater Portland area including the damaging ML 5.5 Portland earthquake of 1962 and the ML 5.6 Scott Mills earthquake of 1993 (Bott and Wong, 1993). In contrast, recent geophysical studies indicate the presence of at least three crustal faults beneath the Portland metropolitan area (Blakely and others, 1995; Pratt and others, in preparation) which could generate much more damaging crustal earthquakes of ML 6.5 or larger. An evaluation of earthquake recurrence based on the historical record suggests that crustal earthquakes of ML 6.5 and larger occur somewhere in the Portland region on average about every 1,000 years (Bott and Wong, 1993). Additionally, a convincing case has now been made to indicate that Cascadia subduction zone earthquakes up to moment magnitude (MW) 9 have occurred in the prehistoric past, as recently as the year 1700, and will occur in the future (e.g., Atwater and others, 1995; Satake and others, 1996). Thus, although in its 150-year existence the Portland metropolitan area has gone relatively unscathed by damaging earthquakes, strong ground shaking generated by either a Cascadia subduction zone earthquake or a nearby crustal event will certainly have a major future impact on the Portland area.
Earthquake Scenario Maps
Note: the different colors on the maps indicate "spectral acceleration." This is a quantitative measure of how much an Earthquake shakes a building at a particular place. The magnitude of the earthquake, the soil conditions, and the design of the building affect the spectral acceleration. The higher the spectral acceleration, the greater the shaking experienced.
Map Limitations: the maps are limited by geologists' knowledge of rock and soil conditions below the Earth's surface. They do not know the exact size of the faults, nor do they know the exact soil structure below each location. Thus, the maps are meant as approximate guides.
Follow Up Questions
  1. The excerpt references two magnitude scales for earthquakes, "ML" and "MW." What scales to these correspond to?
  2. What are the two potential sources of major earthquakes in Portland?
  3. What are the three main faults that exist under the city of Portland?
  4. After reviewing the maps, which of the two earthquake events (the MW 9 megathrust or the MW 6.8 Portland Hills fault) is likely to cause more damage to the city of Portland? What data on the maps lead you to your conclusion?
  5. Where in Portland would you build to avoid the highest amount of shaking (i.e. spectral acceleration)?

3 comments:

  1. i like the idea of a blog
    but on mac computers it takes hours to load

    ReplyDelete
  2. True story: the Scott Mills EQ, aka the "Spring Break Quake," occurred when I (LKK) myself was an 8th grade student. What's more? I happened to be staying the night at Rachael Torchia's house when the quake hit.

    Question: Can you guess which Rachael is which? Note that the variables were arbitrarily assigned. ;)

    Rachael X: Jumped up and screamed "Earthquake," somehow managing to knee herself in the face, thereby giving herself a bloody nose. She promptly composed herself, and, still bleeding, stood in a doorway securing herself as she had been instructed to do in school.

    Rachael Y: Awoke to see a frantic (still bleeding) Rachael X and, after thoughtfully considering her options, decided that the best plan of action involved pulling the comforter up over her head (so that she could go back to sleep.)

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hmm... This is REALLY tough... I'd guess that you are Rachael X.

    ReplyDelete